After the storms due to the pandemic, the sun will be back

Our grandparents of the Roaring Twenties after the terrible Spanish flu pandemic, will history repeat itself?

We are a privileged generation because, as Professor Nicholas Christakis, an eminent epidemiologist and sociologist from Yale University, says, he was crowned “Intellectual Rock Star” by the New York Times.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nicholas_Christakis

Le Professeur Nicholas Christakis

The researcher has just published an essay on the subject: Apollo’s Arrow: The Profound and Enduring Impact of Coronavirus on the Way We Live.

He cites the Bible, Homer, even Shakespeare, and reminds us that major epidemics are part of the “human experience” about “every 100 years”. This is an objective truth. A truth that also gives us a glimpse of what lies ahead. And it’s for the best, since we are, it should be remembered, the very first generation capable of inventing a treatment in our lifetime: namely, a vaccine. “And it’s a miracle! “
Professor Christakis expects a total “reversal of trends”: “People will be looking for social interaction at all costs! […] This is what we saw after the great plagues […]: the emergence of unbridled sexual behavior, the return of spending, and an effervescence on the side of arts and entrepreneurship! “

The economist Pierre Fortin seems to agree with Professor Christakis, the households in Western societies that were the most affected, did not spend, with the successive confinements, people remained locked up and consumed little.

https://fr.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pierre_Fortin_(%C3%A9conomiste)

L’economiste Pierre Fortin

According to the calculations of several economists, more than 5,000 billion have accumulated in the savings of potential consumers, not to mention the companies that have invested little or nothing in industrial tools for the past 18 months, the demand will be extremely strong and the need for personnel as well. Pierre Fortin also mentions, “That’s money in the bank for economic recovery. However, he points out two caveats to this hypothesis: what fraction of these savings will actually be spent? And what portion will benefit national economies?

There is a big difference between the end of the Spanish flu pandemic and the Covid 19 pandemic, the difference is that after the Spanish flu, it was also the end of the first world war, a terrible war that killed tens of millions of people. The world was in darkness since 1914, plus 7 years in a climate of fear, war, death and injury. After this dark period of human history, everyone had a thirst to live, to breathe, to have fun, to live, to eat. In 2021, the situation is different, no war and much less deaths and especially effective vaccines, only 10 months after the appearance of the pandemic.

Moreover, sociologist Simon Langlois, professor emeritus at the University of Laval, declares: “The Roaring Twenties of the 20th century marked the rejection of the shortages and miseries of wartime, as well as the beginning of a flight forward, a kind of negation of the horror experienced in the trenches and the millions of deaths in the prime of life.

Professeur Simon Langlois

Everyone is happy to see the end of this pandemic and historian Laurent Turcot sums up the current situation perfectly when he says, “For a long time we thought that hell was other people, but now we know that hell is solitude! “and he adds “The recent pandemic has provoked a transfer of power from the States to the web giants and has undermined individual liberties. We didn’t talk about surveillance capitalism in the 1920s”!

https://fr.wikipedia.org/wiki/Laurent_Turcot

Laurent Turcot

Everyone agrees that the future will necessarily be better and that the economy will recover and business sectors such as tourism, hotels and restaurants that have suffered enormously from Covid 19 will be able to recover from this year 2020 and surely a first half of 2021 totally catastrophic.

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After the storms due to the pandemic, the sun will be back

Home » After the storms due to the pandemic, the sun will be back

Our grandparents of the Roaring Twenties after the terrible Spanish flu pandemic, will history repeat itself?

We are a privileged generation because, as Professor Nicholas Christakis, an eminent epidemiologist and sociologist from Yale University, says, he was crowned "Intellectual Rock Star" by the New York Times.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nicholas_Christakis

Le Professeur Nicholas Christakis

The researcher has just published an essay on the subject: Apollo's Arrow: The Profound and Enduring Impact of Coronavirus on the Way We Live.

He cites the Bible, Homer, even Shakespeare, and reminds us that major epidemics are part of the "human experience" about "every 100 years". This is an objective truth. A truth that also gives us a glimpse of what lies ahead. And it's for the best, since we are, it should be remembered, the very first generation capable of inventing a treatment in our lifetime: namely, a vaccine. "And it's a miracle! "
Professor Christakis expects a total "reversal of trends": "People will be looking for social interaction at all costs! [...] This is what we saw after the great plagues [...]: the emergence of unbridled sexual behavior, the return of spending, and an effervescence on the side of arts and entrepreneurship! "

The economist Pierre Fortin seems to agree with Professor Christakis, the households in Western societies that were the most affected, did not spend, with the successive confinements, people remained locked up and consumed little.

https://fr.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pierre_Fortin_(%C3%A9conomiste)

L'economiste Pierre Fortin

According to the calculations of several economists, more than 5,000 billion have accumulated in the savings of potential consumers, not to mention the companies that have invested little or nothing in industrial tools for the past 18 months, the demand will be extremely strong and the need for personnel as well. Pierre Fortin also mentions, "That's money in the bank for economic recovery. However, he points out two caveats to this hypothesis: what fraction of these savings will actually be spent? And what portion will benefit national economies?

Moreover, sociologist Simon Langlois, professor emeritus at the University of Laval, declares: "The Roaring Twenties of the 20th century marked the rejection of the shortages and miseries of wartime, as well as the beginning of a flight forward, a kind of negation of the horror experienced in the trenches and the millions of deaths in the prime of life.

Professeur Simon Langlois

The same goes for the post-war period of 1939-1945, in short, euphoria and prosperity followed the darkness of the wars. This has nothing to do with the very real difficulties of the COVID-19 period, even if one should not deny the psychological distress, isolation, loss of income and mortality [that it engendered]" He adds "Globalization will be reviewed, and the national framework will gain in importance. Goods and services that come from China on the cheap will no longer be taken for granted. https://fr.wikipedia.org/wiki/Simon_Langlois

Everyone is happy to see the end of this pandemic and historian Laurent Turcot sums up the current situation perfectly when he says, "For a long time we thought that hell was other people, but now we know that hell is solitude! "and he adds "The recent pandemic has provoked a transfer of power from the States to the web giants and has undermined individual liberties. We didn't talk about surveillance capitalism in the 1920s"!

https://fr.wikipedia.org/wiki/Laurent_Turcot